Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.009819 0.011822 0.014318 0.017732 0.022399 0.028749 0.038415
2024-10-20 0.007276 0.009489 0.012602 0.017526 0.025615 0.039481 0.068292
2024-10-27 0.006252 0.008621 0.012255 0.018690 0.031033 0.057359 0.134994
2024-11-03 0.005635 0.008121 0.012214 0.020203 0.037899 0.085281 0.303828
2024-11-10 0.005187 0.007757 0.012250 0.021818 0.046167 0.129613 0.859305
2024-11-17 0.004646 0.007121 0.011627 0.021828 0.050620 0.171936 2.441756
2024-11-24 0.004180 0.006529 0.010947 0.021455 0.053844 0.219602 9.785524
2024-12-01 0.003688 0.005820 0.009900 0.019873 0.052209 0.238918 35.949629
2024-12-08 0.003331 0.005314 0.009180 0.018914 0.052291 0.274625 1867.326057
2024-12-15 0.003101 0.005015 0.008837 0.018841 0.055839 0.360244 NaN
2024-12-22 0.002946 0.004840 0.008727 0.019376 0.062593 0.539644 NaN
2024-12-29 0.002779 0.004621 0.008483 0.019455 0.067557 0.771272 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002527 0.004233 0.007857 0.018382 0.066849 0.934217 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002352 0.003985 0.007524 0.018171 0.071273 1.457576 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002274 0.003924 0.007616 0.019397 0.087013 4.398001 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002216 0.003895 0.007783 0.020991 0.110156 38.155375 NaN
2025-02-02 0.002162 0.003867 0.007947 0.022696 0.141325 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002050 0.003700 0.007714 0.022707 0.155807 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.001936 0.003517 0.007411 0.022313 0.165138 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001792 0.003255 0.006859 0.020644 0.152625 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001681 0.003060 0.006471 0.019633 0.149139 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001608 0.002947 0.006298 0.019556 0.161235 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.001559 0.002885 0.006262 0.020119 0.188434 NaN NaN